New World Development Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

New World Development is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 84.3% and 2.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 90.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 1.2% in 3 years.

Key information

84.3%

Earnings growth rate

90.4%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	21.4%
Revenue growth rate	2.9%
Future return on equity	1.2%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	20 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17) Shares Dive 26%

Dec 18

There's Reason For Concern Over New World Development Company Limited's (HKG:17) Massive 55% Price Jump

Oct 02

Some Confidence Is Lacking In New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17) As Shares Slide 27%

Jun 21

What New World Development Company Limited's (HKG:17) P/S Is Not Telling You

Apr 23

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With New World Development's (HKG:17) Earnings

Apr 01

These 4 Measures Indicate That New World Development (HKG:17) Is Using Debt Extensively

Mar 26

New World Development (HKG:17) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Mar 03

New World Development Company Limited's (HKG:17) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

Jan 20

The New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts

Oct 26

Is New World Development (HKG:17) Using Too Much Debt?

Oct 10

At HK$15.80, Is New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17) Worth Looking At Closely?

Sep 18

Calculating The Fair Value Of New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17)

Jul 28

Is There Now An Opportunity In New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17)?

Jun 19

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17)

Apr 28

At HK$21.05, Is It Time To Put New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17) On Your Watch List?

Mar 20

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17)?

Jul 08

New World Development (HKG:17) Has No Shortage Of Debt

Jun 20

New World Development Company Limited's (HKG:17) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 22% Below Its Share Price

Apr 19

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17)?

Mar 31

Is New World Development (HKG:17) A Risky Investment?

Mar 15

New World Development (HKG:17) Will Pay A Dividend Of HK$0.56

Feb 28

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17)

Jan 11

New World Development (HKG:17) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Dec 09

New World Development's (HKG:17) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Nov 24

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17)?

Nov 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:17 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (HKD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	36,970	2,918	6,964	9,271	11
6/30/2026	39,131	1,869	10,879	8,118	11
6/30/2025	35,078	1,357	9,304	9,991	12
6/30/2024	35,782	-11,855	-4,487	338	N/A
3/31/2024	71,342	-5,032	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2023	89,493	786	69	6,218	N/A
9/30/2023	92,354	881	1,916	8,604	N/A
6/30/2023	54,566	-955	3,741	10,969	N/A
3/31/2023	66,616	1	10,633	14,650	N/A
12/31/2022	55,426	31	17,504	18,310	N/A
9/30/2022	61,819	640	9,702	12,881	N/A
6/30/2022	68,213	1,249	1,901	7,452	N/A
3/31/2022	68,221	1,405	130	8,079	N/A
12/31/2021	68,229	1,562	-1,640	8,706	N/A
9/30/2021	68,231	1,357	423	9,176	N/A
6/30/2021	68,233	1,152	2,486	9,646	N/A
3/31/2021	65,177	1,122	-6,466	4,360	N/A
12/31/2020	62,121	1,092	-15,417	-926	N/A
9/30/2020	60,564	1,094	-21,251	-5,608	N/A
6/30/2020	59,008	1,096	-27,086	-10,290	N/A
3/31/2020	59,484	4,495	-18,785	-3,317	N/A
12/31/2019	59,961	7,893	-10,485	3,656	N/A
9/30/2019	68,362	13,027	-6,810	5,333	N/A
6/30/2019	76,764	18,160	-3,134	7,011	N/A
3/31/2019	79,392	20,756	-9,157	-48	N/A
12/31/2018	82,020	23,353	-15,180	-7,106	N/A
9/30/2018	71,355	23,345	-8,737	285	N/A
6/30/2018	60,689	23,338	-2,294	7,676	N/A
3/31/2018	59,307	18,974	N/A	8,267	N/A
12/31/2017	57,925	14,610	N/A	8,858	N/A
9/30/2017	57,277	11,143	N/A	6,007	N/A
6/30/2017	56,629	7,676	N/A	3,156	N/A
3/31/2017	54,530	8,689	N/A	5,683	N/A
12/31/2016	52,431	9,702	N/A	8,210	N/A
9/30/2016	56,001	9,184	N/A	8,108	N/A
6/30/2016	59,570	8,666	N/A	8,006	N/A
3/31/2016	60,803	12,612	N/A	9,484	N/A
12/31/2015	62,037	16,557	N/A	10,962	N/A
9/30/2015	58,641	17,835	N/A	10,404	N/A
6/30/2015	55,245	19,112	N/A	9,847	N/A
3/31/2015	55,776	15,081	N/A	4,356	N/A
12/31/2014	56,307	11,051	N/A	-1,134	N/A
9/30/2014	56,404	10,388	N/A	1,089	N/A
6/30/2014	56,501	9,725	N/A	3,313	N/A
3/31/2014	53,003	9,209	N/A	5,583	N/A
12/31/2013	49,505	8,692	N/A	7,853	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 17 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 17 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 17 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 17's revenue (2.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 17's revenue (2.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 17's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (1.2%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 20:43
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

New World Development Company Limited is covered by 36 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Kwok Yi Louie	Barclays
Andrew Lawrence	Barclays
Wee Liat Lee	BNP Paribas Securities (Asia)

New World Development Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 7.1% to HK$7.56

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 466%, revenue downgraded

Price target decreased by 11% to HK$10.80

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 91%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 82%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 82%

Recent updates

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17) Shares Dive 26%

New World Development Company Limited Announces Director Appointments

Price target decreased by 7.1% to HK$7.56

Chow Tai Fook Enterprises Limited agreed to acquire 75% stake in Kai Tak Sports Park Limited from New World Development Company Limited (SEHK:17) for approximately HKD 420 million.

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

There's Reason For Concern Over New World Development Company Limited's (HKG:17) Massive 55% Price Jump

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

New World Development Company Limited Resolves Not to Recommend Final Dividend for the Year Ended 30 June 2024

New World Development Company Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 21, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

New World Development Company Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Sep 26, 2024

Some Confidence Is Lacking In New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17) As Shares Slide 27%

What New World Development Company Limited's (HKG:17) P/S Is Not Telling You

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With New World Development's (HKG:17) Earnings

These 4 Measures Indicate That New World Development (HKG:17) Is Using Debt Extensively

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.20 per share

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 466%, revenue downgraded

New World Development (HKG:17) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

First half dividend of HK$0.20 announced

Price target decreased by 11% to HK$10.80

New minor risk - Earnings quality

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.006 (vs HK$0.48 in 1H 2023)

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 91%

New World Development Company Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 29, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 82%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 82%

New World Development Company Limited's (HKG:17) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 64%

Price target decreased by 8.5% to HK$12.81

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 20%

New World Development Company Limited Appoints Ma Siu-Cheung as Chief Operating Officer, Effective from January 1, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14%, revenue upgraded

Price target decreased by 7.5% to HK$14.58

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 62%, revenue upgraded

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

New World Development Company Limited Approves Final Dividend

New World Development Company Limited Declares Special Dividend, Payable on 20 December 2023

Upcoming dividend of HK$1.89 per share at 4.9% yield

The New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 50%

New World Development Company Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 21, 2023

Is New World Development (HKG:17) Using Too Much Debt?

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 47%

Price target decreased by 21% to HK$17.08

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

At HK$15.80, Is New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17) Worth Looking At Closely?

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Calculating The Fair Value Of New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17)

New World Development Company Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Sep 30, 2023

Chow Tai Fook Enterprises Limited made an offer to acquire additional 96.955655% stake in NWS Holdings Limited (SEHK:659) from New World Development Company Limited (SEHK:17) and others for HKD 34.6 billion.

Price target decreased by 7.9% to HK$23.41

Is There Now An Opportunity In New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17)?

Non-Executive Vice Chairman recently sold HK$16m worth of stock

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17)

Non-Executive Vice Chairman recently sold HK$6.3m worth of stock

At HK$21.05, Is It Time To Put New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17) On Your Watch List?

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.46 per share at 8.8% yield

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 24%, revenue upgraded

Here's Why New World Development (HKG:17) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: HK$0.48 (vs HK$0.57 in 1H 2022)

New World Development Company Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 23, 2023

New World Reportedly Considers Sale of Majority of $1.4 Billion Hong Kong Office Tower

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Estimating The Fair Value Of New World Development Company Limited (HKG:17)

Upcoming dividend of HK$1.50 per share