Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To International Business Settlement Holdings Limited (HKG:147) With Shares Advancing 26%

SEHK:147
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Despite an already strong run, International Business Settlement Holdings Limited (HKG:147) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 47%.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking International Business Settlement Holdings is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 9.8x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Real Estate industry have P/S ratios below 0.6x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for International Business Settlement Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:147 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2024

What Does International Business Settlement Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, International Business Settlement Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on International Business Settlement Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For International Business Settlement Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, International Business Settlement Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 80% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 47% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 7.0% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that International Business Settlement Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does International Business Settlement Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

International Business Settlement Holdings' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that International Business Settlement Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with International Business Settlement Holdings.

If you're unsure about the strength of International Business Settlement Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.