Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For Midland Holdings Limited (HKG:1200) Even After Diving 31%

SEHK:1200
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Midland Holdings Limited (HKG:1200) shares have retraced a considerable 31% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 15% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Midland Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Real Estate industry is similar at about 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Midland Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1200 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 16th 2024

How Midland Holdings Has Been Performing

Midland Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Midland Holdings.

How Is Midland Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

Midland Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 31% gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has fallen 18% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.5% each year as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 5.6% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Midland Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Midland Holdings' P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Midland Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Real Estate industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

A Midland Holdings' P/S seems about right to us given the knowledge that analysts are forecasting a revenue outlook that is similar to the Real Estate industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. If all things remain constant, the possibility of a drastic share price movement remains fairly remote.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Midland Holdings (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Midland Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Midland Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.