Seazen Group Valuation
Is 1030 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 1030 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 1030 (HK$2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.08)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 1030 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1030?
Key metric: As 1030 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 1030's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.1x |
| Sales | CN¥110.93b |
| Market Cap | CN¥13.06b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 17.6x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does 1030's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 0.3x | ||
9993 Radiance Holdings (Group) | 0.4x | n/a | HK$13.1b |
817 China Jinmao Holdings Group | 0.2x | -1.0% | HK$14.7b |
2007 Country Garden Holdings | 0.03x | -17.3% | HK$13.4b |
754 Hopson Development Holdings | 0.4x | n/a | HK$12.7b |
1030 Seazen Group | 0.1x | -22.6% | HK$14.1b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1030 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does 1030's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?
| 87 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 0.6x | 4.5% | |
1030 Seazen Group | 0.1x | -22.6% | US$1.81b |
1908 C&D International Investment Group | 0.2x | 3.1% | US$3.55b |
1918 Sunac China Holdings | 0.2x | -14.2% | US$3.08b |
| 87 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 0.6x | 21.5% | |
1030 Seazen Group | 0.1x | 101.7% | US$1.81b |
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1030 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (0.6x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 1030's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.1x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.3x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1030 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | HK$2.00 | HK$1.62 -19.1% | 33.8% | HK$2.57 | HK$0.80 | n/a | 9 |
| Nov ’25 | HK$2.38 | HK$1.62 -32.1% | 33.8% | HK$2.57 | HK$0.80 | n/a | 9 |
| Oct ’25 | HK$2.54 | HK$1.44 -43.4% | 23.8% | HK$1.89 | HK$0.80 | n/a | 9 |
| Sep ’25 | HK$1.57 | HK$1.31 -16.9% | 25.2% | HK$1.88 | HK$0.80 | n/a | 9 |
| Aug ’25 | HK$1.36 | HK$1.29 -5.0% | 25.4% | HK$1.88 | HK$0.79 | n/a | 9 |
| Jul ’25 | HK$1.36 | HK$1.29 -5.0% | 25.4% | HK$1.88 | HK$0.79 | n/a | 9 |
| Jun ’25 | HK$1.44 | HK$1.29 -10.4% | 24.9% | HK$1.86 | HK$0.80 | n/a | 9 |
| May ’25 | HK$1.36 | HK$1.29 -4.9% | 24.9% | HK$1.87 | HK$0.80 | n/a | 9 |
| Apr ’25 | HK$1.05 | HK$1.41 +34.6% | 33.7% | HK$2.50 | HK$0.79 | n/a | 10 |
| Mar ’25 | HK$1.14 | HK$1.49 +30.3% | 30.5% | HK$2.52 | HK$0.80 | n/a | 10 |
| Feb ’25 | HK$1.03 | HK$1.57 +52.4% | 30.8% | HK$2.53 | HK$0.80 | n/a | 10 |
| Jan ’25 | HK$1.27 | HK$1.95 +53.2% | 27.3% | HK$3.23 | HK$1.38 | n/a | 10 |
| Dec ’24 | HK$1.43 | HK$1.93 +35.1% | 26.8% | HK$3.16 | HK$1.34 | n/a | 10 |
| Nov ’24 | HK$1.26 | HK$1.93 +53.3% | 26.8% | HK$3.16 | HK$1.34 | HK$2.38 | 10 |
| Oct ’24 | HK$1.43 | HK$2.36 +64.8% | 40.3% | HK$4.17 | HK$1.34 | HK$2.54 | 11 |
| Sep ’24 | HK$1.53 | HK$2.67 +74.3% | 47.4% | HK$5.27 | HK$1.36 | HK$1.57 | 11 |
| Aug ’24 | HK$1.67 | HK$3.40 +103.6% | 25.9% | HK$4.98 | HK$1.69 | HK$1.36 | 11 |
| Jul ’24 | HK$1.53 | HK$3.46 +126.3% | 24.2% | HK$5.05 | HK$2.03 | HK$1.36 | 11 |
| Jun ’24 | HK$1.38 | HK$3.48 +152.2% | 24.4% | HK$5.09 | HK$2.04 | HK$1.44 | 11 |
| May ’24 | HK$1.68 | HK$3.80 +126.3% | 24.5% | HK$5.24 | HK$2.10 | HK$1.36 | 10 |
| Apr ’24 | HK$2.03 | HK$5.04 +148.2% | 27.0% | HK$7.95 | HK$2.90 | HK$1.05 | 10 |
| Mar ’24 | HK$2.77 | HK$5.34 +92.7% | 22.2% | HK$7.94 | HK$3.63 | HK$1.14 | 9 |
| Feb ’24 | HK$3.01 | HK$5.09 +69.0% | 15.9% | HK$6.48 | HK$3.69 | HK$1.03 | 8 |
| Jan ’24 | HK$2.89 | HK$4.77 +64.9% | 22.6% | HK$6.23 | HK$2.69 | HK$1.27 | 8 |
| Dec ’23 | HK$3.44 | HK$4.14 +20.3% | 28.9% | HK$6.13 | HK$2.57 | HK$1.43 | 8 |
| Nov ’23 | HK$1.34 | HK$3.93 +193.1% | 34.0% | HK$6.03 | HK$2.07 | HK$1.26 | 8 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.
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