Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around Akeso, Inc.'s (HKG:9926) Revenues As Shares Take 25% Pounding

SEHK:9926
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The Akeso, Inc. (HKG:9926) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 6.5% during the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, Akeso may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.6x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios greater than 10.4x and even P/S higher than 28x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Akeso

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:9926 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 19th 2024

How Has Akeso Performed Recently?

Akeso certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Akeso will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Akeso?

Akeso's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. In spite of this unbelievable short-term growth, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 10% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 53% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Akeso is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Akeso's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Akeso maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Akeso that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Akeso's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.