Stock Analysis

How Does Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited (HKG:874) Stand Up To These Simple Dividend Safety Checks?

SEHK:874
Source: Shutterstock

Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited (HKG:874) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. Yet sometimes, investors buy a stock for its dividend and lose money because the share price falls by more than they earned in dividend payments.

A high yield and a long history of paying dividends is an appealing combination for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings. It would not be a surprise to discover that many investors buy it for the dividends. When buying stocks for their dividends, you should always run through the checks below, to see if the dividend looks sustainable.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings!

historic-dividend
SEHK:874 Historic Dividend April 30th 2021

Payout ratios

Companies (usually) pay dividends out of their earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, the dividend might have to be cut. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Looking at the data, we can see that 26% of Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. A medium payout ratio strikes a good balance between paying dividends, and keeping enough back to invest in the business. Besides, if reinvestment opportunities dry up, the company has room to increase the dividend.

Another important check we do is to see if the free cash flow generated is sufficient to pay the dividend. Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' cash payout ratio in the last year was 27%, which suggests dividends were well covered by cash generated by the business. It's positive to see that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

With a strong net cash balance, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.

Dividend Volatility

One of the major risks of relying on dividend income, is the potential for a company to struggle financially and cut its dividend. Not only is your income cut, but the value of your investment declines as well - nasty. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' dividend payments. Its dividend payments have declined on at least one occasion over the past 10 years. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was CN¥0.05 in 2011, compared to CN¥0.5 last year. Dividends per share have grown at approximately 27% per year over this time. The dividends haven't grown at precisely 27% every year, but this is a useful way to average out the historical rate of growth.

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, but it might be worth considering if the business has turned a corner.

Dividend Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share (EPS) are growing - it's not worth taking the risk on a dividend getting cut, unless you might be rewarded with larger dividends in future. Strong earnings per share (EPS) growth might encourage our interest in the company despite fluctuating dividends, which is why it's great to see Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has grown its earnings per share at 15% per annum over the past five years. A company paying out less than a quarter of its earnings as dividends, and growing earnings at more than 10% per annum, looks to be right in the cusp of its growth phase. At the right price, we might be interested.

Conclusion

Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing. Firstly, we like that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has low and conservative payout ratios. Next, earnings growth has been good, but unfortunately the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. All things considered, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings looks like a strong prospect. At the right valuation, it could be something special.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of dividend stocks with a yield above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:874

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings

Researches, develops, manufactures, and sells Chinese patent and Western medicines, chemical raw materials, natural and biological medicines, and intermediates of chemical raw materials in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet and fair value.

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