Stock Analysis

Genor Biopharma Holdings (HKG:6998) adds HK$105m to market cap in the past 7 days, though investors from a year ago are still down 42%

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SEHK:6998
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Genor Biopharma Holdings Limited (HKG:6998) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 12% in the last week. But that doesn't change the reality of under-performance over the last twelve months. In fact the stock is down 42% in the last year, well below the market return.

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last year, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

See our latest analysis for Genor Biopharma Holdings

SWOT Analysis for Genor Biopharma Holdings

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • No major weaknesses identified for 6998.
Opportunity
  • Forecast to reduce losses next year.
Threat
  • Has less than 3 years of cash runway based on current free cash flow.

We don't think Genor Biopharma Holdings' revenue of CN¥15,932,000 is enough to establish significant demand. This state of affairs suggests that venture capitalists won't provide funds on attractive terms. So it seems shareholders are too busy dreaming about the progress to come than dwelling on the current (lack of) revenue. For example, they may be hoping that Genor Biopharma Holdings comes up with a great new product, before it runs out of money.

Companies that lack both meaningful revenue and profits are usually considered high risk. There is almost always a chance they will need to raise more capital, and their progress - and share price - will dictate how dilutive that is to current holders. While some companies like this go on to deliver on their plan, making good money for shareholders, many end in painful losses and eventual de-listing.

When it last reported its balance sheet in December 2022, Genor Biopharma Holdings had cash in excess of all liabilities of CN¥1.3b. That's not too bad but management may have to think about raising capital or taking on debt, unless the company is close to breaking even. We'd venture that shareholders are concerned about the need for more capital, because the share price has dropped 42% in the last year. The image below shows how Genor Biopharma Holdings' balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:6998 Debt to Equity History June 1st 2023

Of course, the truth is that it is hard to value companies without much revenue or profit. Given that situation, would you be concerned if it turned out insiders were relentlessly selling stock? I'd like that just about as much as I like to drink milk and fruit juice mixed together. You can click here to see if there are insiders selling.

A Different Perspective

Genor Biopharma Holdings shareholders are down 42% for the year, even worse than the market loss of 8.0%. There's no doubt that's a disappointment, but the stock may well have fared better in a stronger market. The share price decline has continued throughout the most recent three months, down 25%, suggesting an absence of enthusiasm from investors. Basically, most investors should be wary of buying into a poor-performing stock, unless the business itself has clearly improved. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Genor Biopharma Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Genor Biopharma Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.