Stock Analysis

Here's Why China Resources Pharmaceutical Group (HKG:3320) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SEHK:3320
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies China Resources Pharmaceutical Group Limited (HKG:3320) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for China Resources Pharmaceutical Group

What Is China Resources Pharmaceutical Group's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, China Resources Pharmaceutical Group had CN¥74.9b of debt, up from CN¥71.8b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥33.1b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥41.8b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:3320 Debt to Equity History August 30th 2024

A Look At China Resources Pharmaceutical Group's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Resources Pharmaceutical Group had liabilities of CN¥144.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥25.2b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥33.1b and CN¥114.5b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥21.6b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥31.4b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on China Resources Pharmaceutical Group's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

China Resources Pharmaceutical Group has net debt to EBITDA of 3.0 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. But the high interest coverage of 8.3 suggests it can easily service that debt. Notably China Resources Pharmaceutical Group's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Resources Pharmaceutical Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Resources Pharmaceutical Group recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 82% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for China Resources Pharmaceutical Group was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For example, its level of total liabilities makes us a little nervous about its debt. Considering this range of data points, we think China Resources Pharmaceutical Group is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - China Resources Pharmaceutical Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.