Stock Analysis

Companies Like Hua Medicine (Shanghai) (HKG:2552) Can Afford To Invest In Growth

SEHK:2552
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Hua Medicine (Shanghai) (HKG:2552) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

See our latest analysis for Hua Medicine (Shanghai)

Does Hua Medicine (Shanghai) Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Hua Medicine (Shanghai) last reported its balance sheet in December 2020, it had zero debt and cash worth CN¥1.0b. In the last year, its cash burn was CN¥21m. That means it had a cash runway of very many years as of December 2020. Notably, however, analysts think that Hua Medicine (Shanghai) will break even (at a free cash flow level) before then. If that happens, then the length of its cash runway, today, would become a moot point. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2552 Debt to Equity History March 23rd 2021

How Is Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

While Hua Medicine (Shanghai) did record statutory revenue of CN¥8.7m over the last year, it didn't have any revenue from operations. To us, that makes it a pre-revenue company, so we'll look to its cash burn trajectory as an assessment of its cash burn situation. The good news, from a balance sheet perspective, is that it actually reduced its cash burn by 94% in the last twelve months. While that hardly points to growth potential, it does at least suggest the company is trying to survive. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

Can Hua Medicine (Shanghai) Raise More Cash Easily?

There's no doubt Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s rapidly reducing cash burn brings comfort, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund further growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥3.9b, Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s CN¥21m in cash burn equates to about 0.5% of its market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

Is Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s Cash Burn A Worry?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Hua Medicine (Shanghai)'s cash burn. For example, we think its cash burn reduction suggests that the company is on a good path. And even its cash burn relative to its market cap was very encouraging. It's clearly very positive to see that analysts are forecasting the company will break even fairly soon. After considering a range of factors in this article, we're pretty relaxed about its cash burn, since the company seems to be in a good position to continue to fund its growth. Its important for readers to be cognizant of the risks that can affect the company's operations, and we've picked out 2 warning signs for Hua Medicine (Shanghai) that investors should know when investing in the stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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