Stock Analysis

Does It Make Sense To Buy Consun Pharmaceutical Group Limited (HKG:1681) For Its Yield?

SEHK:1681
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Could Consun Pharmaceutical Group Limited (HKG:1681) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? Investors are often drawn to strong companies with the idea of reinvesting the dividends. On the other hand, investors have been known to buy a stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

With a goodly-sized dividend yield despite a relatively short payment history, investors might be wondering if Consun Pharmaceutical Group is a new dividend aristocrat in the making. We'd agree the yield does look enticing. During the year, the company also conducted a buyback equivalent to around 4.8% of its market capitalisation. Some simple analysis can reduce the risk of holding Consun Pharmaceutical Group for its dividend, and we'll focus on the most important aspects below.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Consun Pharmaceutical Group!

historic-dividend
SEHK:1681 Historic Dividend March 18th 2021

Payout ratios

Companies (usually) pay dividends out of their earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, the dividend might have to be cut. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. In the last year, Consun Pharmaceutical Group paid out 349% of its profit as dividends. A payout ratio above 100% is definitely an item of concern, unless there are some other circumstances that would justify it.

In addition to comparing dividends against profits, we should inspect whether the company generated enough cash to pay its dividend. Of the free cash flow it generated last year, Consun Pharmaceutical Group paid out 33% as dividends, suggesting the dividend is affordable. It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and Consun Pharmaceutical Group fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

With a strong net cash balance, Consun Pharmaceutical Group investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.

We update our data on Consun Pharmaceutical Group every 24 hours, so you can always get our latest analysis of its financial health, here.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. Looking at the data, we can see that Consun Pharmaceutical Group has been paying a dividend for the past six years. It's good to see that Consun Pharmaceutical Group has been paying a dividend for a number of years. However, the dividend has been cut at least once in the past, and we're concerned that what has been cut once, could be cut again. During the past six-year period, the first annual payment was CN¥0.08 in 2015, compared to CN¥0.1 last year. Dividends per share have grown at approximately 9.7% per year over this time. The dividends haven't grown at precisely 9.7% every year, but this is a useful way to average out the historical rate of growth.

A reasonable rate of dividend growth is good to see, but we're wary that the dividend history is not as solid as we'd like, having been cut at least once.

Dividend Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share (EPS) are growing - it's not worth taking the risk on a dividend getting cut, unless you might be rewarded with larger dividends in future. Consun Pharmaceutical Group's EPS have fallen by approximately 28% per year during the past five years. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and Consun Pharmaceutical Group's earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.

Conclusion

When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. We're a bit uncomfortable with its high payout ratio, although at least the dividend was covered by free cash flow. Earnings per share have been falling, and the company has cut its dividend at least once in the past. From a dividend perspective, this is a cause for concern. In summary, Consun Pharmaceutical Group has a number of shortcomings that we'd find it hard to get past. Things could change, but we think there are likely more attractive alternatives out there.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Consun Pharmaceutical Group that investors should take into consideration.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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