Kontafarma China Holdings Limited's (HKG:1312) Share Price Boosted 27% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Those holding Kontafarma China Holdings Limited (HKG:1312) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, considering around half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.5x, you may still consider Kontafarma China Holdings as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
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How Kontafarma China Holdings Has Been Performing
The revenue growth achieved at Kontafarma China Holdings over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kontafarma China Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Kontafarma China Holdings?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Kontafarma China Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. The latest three year period has also seen a 12% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 11% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Kontafarma China Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Kontafarma China Holdings' P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
In line with expectations, Kontafarma China Holdings maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Kontafarma China Holdings (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1312
Kontafarma China Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of prescription drugs in Mainland China, Singapore, Taiwan, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.
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