Should You Think About Buying Cloud Music Inc. (HKG:9899) Now?

Cloud Music Inc. (HKG:9899), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the SEHK. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine Cloud Music’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Cloud Music

What Is Cloud Music Worth?

According to my valuation model, Cloud Music seems to be fairly priced at around 10.0% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Cloud Music today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth HK$99.89, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Cloud Music’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Cloud Music generate?

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Cloud Music's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? 9899’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 9899, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Cloud Music, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Cloud Music, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in Cloud Music, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.