Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Creative China Holdings (HKG:8368) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SEHK:8368
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Creative China Holdings Limited (HKG:8368) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Creative China Holdings

What Is Creative China Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Creative China Holdings had CN¥70.5m of debt, an increase on CN¥26.4m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥24.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥46.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8368 Debt to Equity History June 16th 2023

A Look At Creative China Holdings' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Creative China Holdings had liabilities of CN¥161.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.45m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥24.0m in cash and CN¥179.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥40.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This luscious liquidity implies that Creative China Holdings' balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Creative China Holdings's net debt is only 0.97 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 75.8 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, Creative China Holdings grew its EBIT by 159% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Creative China Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Creative China Holdings burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

The good news is that Creative China Holdings's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Zooming out, Creative China Holdings seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Creative China Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.