Stock Analysis

Would China Digital Video Holdings (HKG:8280) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

SEHK:8280
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, China Digital Video Holdings Limited (HKG:8280) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for China Digital Video Holdings

What Is China Digital Video Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, China Digital Video Holdings had CN¥116.3m of debt at December 2021, down from CN¥200.1m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥40.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥76.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8280 Debt to Equity History April 30th 2022

A Look At China Digital Video Holdings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Digital Video Holdings had liabilities of CN¥373.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥40.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥40.2m in cash and CN¥343.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥30.6m.

This deficit isn't so bad because China Digital Video Holdings is worth CN¥62.7m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is China Digital Video Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, China Digital Video Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥250m, which is a fall of 20%. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

While China Digital Video Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥94m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥105m. So we do think this stock is quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that China Digital Video Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are concerning...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.