David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Modern Media Holdings Limited (HKG:72) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Modern Media Holdings
What Is Modern Media Holdings's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Modern Media Holdings had CN¥103.3m of debt at December 2020, down from CN¥131.8m a year prior. However, it also had CN¥61.1m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥42.2m.
How Healthy Is Modern Media Holdings' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Modern Media Holdings had liabilities of CN¥247.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥20.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥61.1m as well as receivables valued at CN¥206.3m due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.
This state of affairs indicates that Modern Media Holdings' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥73.0m company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Modern Media Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Modern Media Holdings had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 30%, to CN¥313m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Modern Media Holdings's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥75m. Looking on the brighter side, the business has adequate liquid assets, which give it time to grow and develop before its debt becomes a near-term issue. But we'd be more likely to spend time trying to understand the stock if the company made a profit. This one is a bit too risky for our liking. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Modern Media Holdings (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About SEHK:72
Meta Media Holdings
An investment holding company, operates as a media company in the People’s Republic of China, Hong Kong, and the United Kingdom.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.