To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating FriendTimes (HKG:6820), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on FriendTimes is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.043 = CN¥57m ÷ (CN¥1.4b - CN¥124m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
Thus, FriendTimes has an ROCE of 4.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Entertainment industry average of 6.7%.
View our latest analysis for FriendTimes
Above you can see how the current ROCE for FriendTimes compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering FriendTimes here for free.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
When we looked at the ROCE trend at FriendTimes, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 4.3% from 53% five years ago. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a related note, FriendTimes has decreased its current liabilities to 8.6% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
What We Can Learn From FriendTimes' ROCE
We're a bit apprehensive about FriendTimes because despite more capital being deployed in the business, returns on that capital and sales have both fallen. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last three years have experienced a 49% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with FriendTimes (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:6820
FriendTimes
Through its subsidiaries, develops, publishes, distributes, and operates mobile games in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.