Market Cool On Netjoy Holdings Limited's (HKG:2131) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Lower
Netjoy Holdings Limited (HKG:2131) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 56% loss during that time.
After such a large drop in price, Netjoy Holdings may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Media industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios greater than 0.7x and even P/S higher than 3x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Netjoy Holdings
How Has Netjoy Holdings Performed Recently?
Netjoy Holdings has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this good revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Netjoy Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Netjoy Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Netjoy Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.5% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 82% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it odd that Netjoy Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What Does Netjoy Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
The southerly movements of Netjoy Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We're very surprised to see Netjoy Holdings currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Netjoy Holdings (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to be mindful of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Netjoy Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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About SEHK:2131
Netjoy Holdings
An investment holding company, provides online advertising services in the People’s Republic of China.
Mediocre balance sheet low.