IMAX China Holding, Inc. (HKG:1970) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to $0.008 on the 26th of August. The dividend yield of 6.3% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.
View our latest analysis for IMAX China Holding
IMAX China Holding Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last dividend, IMAX China Holding is earning enough to cover the payment, but then it makes up 886% of cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.
Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 107.8% over the next year. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, it could start putting pressure on the balance sheet with the payout ratio reaching 173% over the next year.
IMAX China Holding Doesn't Have A Long Payment History
Looking back, the dividend has been stable, but the company hasn't been paying a dividend for very long so we can't be confident that the dividend will remain stable through all economic environments. Since 2018, the dividend has gone from $0.04 total annually to $0.055. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.3% a year over that time. IMAX China Holding has a nice track record of dividend growth but we would wait until we see a longer track record before getting too confident.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. It's not great to see that IMAX China Holding's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 9.9% per year over the past five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. While IMAX China Holding is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for IMAX China Holding that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1970
IMAX China Holding
An investment holding company, provides digital and film-based motion picture technologies in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.