Stock Analysis

Mobvista Inc. (HKG:1860) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 26%

SEHK:1860
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Mobvista Inc. (HKG:1860) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 43% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Mobvista's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Media industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Mobvista

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1860 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 15th 2024

What Does Mobvista's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Mobvista as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Mobvista.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Mobvista's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 23%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 107% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 18% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 11%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Mobvista's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Mobvista's P/S Mean For Investors?

Following Mobvista's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Mobvista currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Mobvista that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.