Stock Analysis

Shareholders in Alibaba Pictures Group (HKG:1060) have lost 66%, as stock drops 4.1% this past week

SEHK:1060
Source: Shutterstock

Alibaba Pictures Group Limited (HKG:1060) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 24% in the last quarter. But that can't change the reality that over the longer term (five years), the returns have been really quite dismal. Indeed, the share price is down 66% in the period. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. Of course, this could be the start of a turnaround.

Since Alibaba Pictures Group has shed HK$594m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

View our latest analysis for Alibaba Pictures Group

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, Alibaba Pictures Group moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 15% a year in the five year period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1060 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 19th 2024

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. If you are thinking of buying or selling Alibaba Pictures Group stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 25% in the last year, Alibaba Pictures Group shareholders lost 1.1%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 11% doled out over the last five years. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Alibaba Pictures Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Alibaba Pictures Group that you should be aware of.

Of course Alibaba Pictures Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.