Stock Analysis

Henan Jinma Energy (HKG:6885) Will Pay A Dividend Of HK$0.12

The board of Henan Jinma Energy Company Limited (HKG:6885) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 30th of November, with investors receiving HK$0.12 per share. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 8.2%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Henan Jinma Energy

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Henan Jinma Energy's Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Henan Jinma Energy was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 75.5% if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 19% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
SEHK:6885 Historic Dividend October 18th 2021

Henan Jinma Energy's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

The track record isn't the longest, but we are already seeing a bit of instability in the payments. Since 2018, the first annual payment was CN¥0.20, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CN¥0.30. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 14% per annum over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Henan Jinma Energy has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 76% per annum. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.

In Summary

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While the low payout ratio is redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We don't think Henan Jinma Energy is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Henan Jinma Energy (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Henan Jinma Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

About SEHK:6885

Henan Jinma Energy

Operates in the coking chemical industry in the People’s Republic of China.

Low risk and slightly overvalued.

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