Stock Analysis

Tiande Chemical Holdings Limited's (HKG:609) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't

SEHK:609
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It's not a stretch to say that Tiande Chemical Holdings Limited's (HKG:609) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for Chemicals companies in Hong Kong, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Tiande Chemical Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:609 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 22nd 2024

What Does Tiande Chemical Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Tiande Chemical Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tiande Chemical Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Tiande Chemical Holdings?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Tiande Chemical Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 41% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 53% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 34% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Tiande Chemical Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Tiande Chemical Holdings' average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Tiande Chemical Holdings you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tiande Chemical Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:609

Tiande Chemical Holdings

An investment holding company, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sells fine chemical products in the People’s Republic of China, India, Switzerland, the United States, Spain, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.