China BlueChemical Ltd.'s (HKG:3983) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 12x, you may consider China BlueChemical Ltd. (HKG:3983) as an attractive investment with its 7.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
China BlueChemical could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for China BlueChemical
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, China BlueChemical would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 55%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 28% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 1.1% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why China BlueChemical is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From China BlueChemical's P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of China BlueChemical's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - China BlueChemical has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than China BlueChemical. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:3983
China BlueChemical
Develops, produces, and sells mineral fertilizers and chemical products in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.
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