Stock Analysis

China BlueChemical (HKG:3983) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SEHK:3983
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies China BlueChemical Ltd. (HKG:3983) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for China BlueChemical

What Is China BlueChemical's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, China BlueChemical had CN¥2.20b of debt, up from CN¥2.00b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥13.2b in cash, leading to a CN¥11.0b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:3983 Debt to Equity History September 20th 2024

A Look At China BlueChemical's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China BlueChemical had liabilities of CN¥2.95b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.06b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥13.2b in cash and CN¥430.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥8.64b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This luscious liquidity implies that China BlueChemical's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, China BlueChemical boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

But the bad news is that China BlueChemical has seen its EBIT plunge 16% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China BlueChemical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. China BlueChemical may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, China BlueChemical produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 54% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, the bottom line is that China BlueChemical has net cash of CN¥11.0b and plenty of liquid assets. So is China BlueChemical's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with China BlueChemical , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.