Stock Analysis

China BlueChemical (HKG:3983) Could Easily Take On More Debt

SEHK:3983
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that China BlueChemical Ltd. (HKG:3983) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for China BlueChemical

What Is China BlueChemical's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, China BlueChemical had CN¥1.61b of debt, up from CN¥921.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥11.4b in cash, leading to a CN¥9.77b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:3983 Debt to Equity History September 28th 2022

A Look At China BlueChemical's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, China BlueChemical had liabilities of CN¥3.51b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.44b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥11.4b as well as receivables valued at CN¥510.9m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥6.95b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that China BlueChemical's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that China BlueChemical has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

On top of that, China BlueChemical grew its EBIT by 43% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China BlueChemical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. China BlueChemical may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, China BlueChemical generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 96% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that China BlueChemical has net cash of CN¥9.77b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 96% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥1.9b. At the end of the day we're not concerned about China BlueChemical's debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China BlueChemical that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:3983

China BlueChemical

Develops, produces, and sells mineral fertilizers and chemical products in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.

Community Narratives

Leading the Game with Growth, Innovation, and Exceptional Returns
Fair Value SEK 300.00|49.486999999999995% undervalued
Investingwilly
Investingwilly
Community Contributor
Why ASML Dominates the Chip Market
Fair Value €864.91|16.442% undervalued
yiannisz
yiannisz
Community Contributor
Global Payments will reach new heights with a 34% upside potential
Fair Value US$142.00|20.528% undervalued
Maxell
Maxell
Community Contributor