Stock Analysis

Wanguo International Mining Group Limited (HKG:3939) Stocks Shoot Up 31% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

SEHK:3939
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Despite an already strong run, Wanguo International Mining Group Limited (HKG:3939) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 31% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 185% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Wanguo International Mining Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.1x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 8x and even P/E's lower than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Wanguo International Mining Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Wanguo International Mining Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3939 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 10th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Wanguo International Mining Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Wanguo International Mining Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 231% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Wanguo International Mining Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Shares in Wanguo International Mining Group have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Wanguo International Mining Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Wanguo International Mining Group with six simple checks.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wanguo Gold Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.