When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 9x, you may consider West China Cement Limited (HKG:2233) as a highly attractive investment with its 2.6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, West China Cement has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for West China Cement
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There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like West China Cement's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 8.3%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 38% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 38% per year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 15% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it odd that West China Cement is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From West China Cement's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of West China Cement's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with West China Cement, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of West China Cement's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2233
West China Cement
An investment holding company, manufactures and sells cement and cement products in the People’s Republic of China.
High growth potential and fair value.