Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies CPM Group Limited (HKG:1932) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for CPM Group
How Much Debt Does CPM Group Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CPM Group had HK$232.5m in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it does have HK$111.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$121.4m.
How Healthy Is CPM Group's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, CPM Group had liabilities of HK$566.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$19.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had HK$111.1m in cash and HK$399.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$75.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because CPM Group is worth HK$315.0m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CPM Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, CPM Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$744m, which is a fall of 12%. We would much prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
While CPM Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable HK$93m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled HK$29m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with CPM Group (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1932
CPM Group
An investment holding company, manufactures and sells paint and coating products in Hong Kong and Mainland China.
Excellent balance sheet very low.