Stock Analysis

CPM Group (HKG:1932) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

SEHK:1932
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies CPM Group Limited (HKG:1932) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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How Much Debt Does CPM Group Carry?

As you can see below, CPM Group had HK$212.0m of debt at June 2023, down from HK$232.5m a year prior. However, it does have HK$123.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$88.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1932 Debt to Equity History October 18th 2023

A Look At CPM Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that CPM Group had liabilities of HK$493.5m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$45.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$123.8m as well as receivables valued at HK$297.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$118.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since CPM Group has a market capitalization of HK$260.0m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CPM Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year CPM Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 23%, to HK$575m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While CPM Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$68m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of HK$59m into a profit. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with CPM Group .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.