These 4 Measures Indicate That Champion Alliance International Holdings (HKG:1629) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Champion Alliance International Holdings Limited (HKG:1629) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Champion Alliance International Holdings
What Is Champion Alliance International Holdings's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Champion Alliance International Holdings had CN¥51.5m of debt at June 2020, down from CN¥77.1m a year prior. On the flip side, it has CN¥36.1m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥15.4m.
A Look At Champion Alliance International Holdings's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Champion Alliance International Holdings had liabilities of CN¥239.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.02m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥36.1m as well as receivables valued at CN¥148.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥55.5m.
Since publicly traded Champion Alliance International Holdings shares are worth a total of CN¥1.27b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, Champion Alliance International Holdings has a very light debt load indeed.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
While Champion Alliance International Holdings's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.67 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 4.9 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Pleasingly, Champion Alliance International Holdings is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 1,781% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Champion Alliance International Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Champion Alliance International Holdings saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Based on what we've seen Champion Alliance International Holdings is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Champion Alliance International Holdings is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Champion Alliance International Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About SEHK:1629
Champion Alliance International Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of energy in the People's Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.