Stock Analysis

Investors Give Jia Yao Holdings Limited (HKG:1626) Shares A 26% Hiding

SEHK:1626
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Jia Yao Holdings Limited (HKG:1626) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 13% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Jia Yao Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Packaging industry is similar at about 0.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Jia Yao Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1626 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 7th 2024

What Does Jia Yao Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Jia Yao Holdings as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jia Yao Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jia Yao Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 50% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 153% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Jia Yao Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Jia Yao Holdings' P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Jia Yao Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Packaging industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We didn't quite envision Jia Yao Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Jia Yao Holdings that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.