Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Honliv Healthcare Management Group Company Limited's (HKG:9906) Shares

By
Simply Wall St
Published
May 31, 2021
SEHK:9906
Source: Shutterstock

Honliv Healthcare Management Group Company Limited's (HKG:9906) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 11x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Honliv Healthcare Management Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Honliv Healthcare Management Group

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SEHK:9906 Price Based on Past Earnings June 1st 2021
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Honliv Healthcare Management Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Honliv Healthcare Management Group's Growth Trending?

Honliv Healthcare Management Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 62%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 74% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Honliv Healthcare Management Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Honliv Healthcare Management Group's P/E

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Honliv Healthcare Management Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware Honliv Healthcare Management Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

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