Stock Analysis

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' (HKG:874) Returns Have Hit A Wall

SEHK:874
Source: Shutterstock

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. With that in mind, the ROCE of Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (HKG:874) looks decent, right now, so lets see what the trend of returns can tell us.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.10 = CN¥4.1b ÷ (CN¥74b - CN¥33b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has an ROCE of 10%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Healthcare industry average of 12%.

View our latest analysis for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings

roce
SEHK:874 Return on Capital Employed July 2nd 2023

In the above chart we have measured Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings.

SWOT Analysis for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Healthcare market.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio compared to estimated Fair P/E ratio.
Threat
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market.

What Can We Tell From Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' ROCE Trend?

The trend of ROCE doesn't stand out much, but returns on a whole are decent. The company has consistently earned 10% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 94% in that time. 10% is a pretty standard return, and it provides some comfort knowing that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has consistently earned this amount. Stable returns in this ballpark can be unexciting, but if they can be maintained over the long run, they often provide nice rewards to shareholders.

Another point to note, we noticed the company has increased current liabilities over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 45% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than10% because total capital employed would be higher.The 10% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 45% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. Additionally, this high level of current liabilities isn't ideal because it means the company's suppliers (or short-term creditors) are effectively funding a large portion of the business.

What We Can Learn From Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' ROCE

The main thing to remember is that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has proven its ability to continually reinvest at respectable rates of return. Yet over the last five years the stock has declined 15%, so the decline might provide an opening. For that reason, savvy investors might want to look further into this company in case it's a prime investment.

One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings that you might find interesting.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:874

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings

Researches, develops, manufactures, and sells Chinese patent and Western medicines, chemical raw materials, natural and biological medicines, and intermediates of chemical raw materials in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet and fair value.