Stock Analysis

Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai) (HKG:6922) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

SEHK:6922
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai) (HKG:6922) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

Check out our latest analysis for Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai)

How Long Is Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai)'s Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. In June 2023, Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai) had CN¥159m in cash, and was debt-free. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥122m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from June 2023 it had roughly 16 months of cash runway. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:6922 Debt to Equity History October 3rd 2023

How Well Is Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai) Growing?

Some investors might find it troubling that Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai) is actually increasing its cash burn, which is up 36% in the last year. But looking on the bright side, its revenue gained by 59%, lending some credence to the growth narrative. The company needs to keep up that growth, if it is to really please shareholders. It seems to be growing nicely. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic revenue growth shows how Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai) is building its business over time.

How Hard Would It Be For Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai) To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai) seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥3.8b, Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai)'s CN¥122m in cash burn equates to about 3.2% of its market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

So, Should We Worry About Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai)'s Cash Burn?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai)'s revenue growth was relatively promising. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 1 warning sign for Cryofocus Medtech (Shanghai) that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.