Stock Analysis

We're Hopeful That Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology (HKG:6609) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

SEHK:6609
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So should Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology (HKG:6609) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology

Does Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology Have A Long Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. In June 2021, Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology had CN¥538m in cash, and was debt-free. In the last year, its cash burn was CN¥171m. So it had a cash runway of about 3.1 years from June 2021. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:6609 Debt to Equity History November 29th 2021

How Is Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced CN¥43m, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. In fact, it ramped its spending strongly over the last year, increasing cash burn by 139%. That sort of spending growth rate can't continue for very long before it causes balance sheet weakness, generally speaking. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Hard Would It Be For Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology To Raise More Cash For Growth?

While Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology does have a solid cash runway, its cash burn trajectory may have some shareholders thinking ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology's cash burn of CN¥171m is about 6.2% of its CN¥2.8b market capitalisation. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

Is Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology's Cash Burn A Worry?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. While we must concede that its increasing cash burn is a bit worrying, the other factors mentioned in this article provide great comfort when it comes to the cash burn. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 2 warning signs for Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

Of course Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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