Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Pine Care Group (HKG:1989) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Pine Care Group is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.065 = HK$33m ÷ (HK$941m - HK$433m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Therefore, Pine Care Group has an ROCE of 6.5%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Healthcare industry average of 9.8%.
View our latest analysis for Pine Care Group
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Pine Care Group, check out these free graphs here.
The Trend Of ROCE
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Pine Care Group doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 19% over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
Another thing to note, Pine Care Group has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 46%. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.The Bottom Line
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Pine Care Group is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. Furthermore the stock has climbed 94% over the last three years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
Pine Care Group does come with some risks though, we found 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...
While Pine Care Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:1989
Pine Care Group
Pine Care Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides elderly home care services in Hong Kong.
Weak fundamentals or lack of information.