Stock Analysis

Does Rici Healthcare Holdings (HKG:1526) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:1526
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Rici Healthcare Holdings Limited (HKG:1526) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Rici Healthcare Holdings

How Much Debt Does Rici Healthcare Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Rici Healthcare Holdings had CN¥1.13b of debt in June 2022, down from CN¥1.40b, one year before. However, it also had CN¥574.3m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥553.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1526 Debt to Equity History December 15th 2022

How Healthy Is Rici Healthcare Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Rici Healthcare Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.97b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.78b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥574.3m in cash and CN¥283.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.89b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥683.9m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Rici Healthcare Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Rici Healthcare Holdings has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.4 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.5 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Importantly, Rici Healthcare Holdings's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 29% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Rici Healthcare Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, Rici Healthcare Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

On the face of it, Rici Healthcare Holdings's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We should also note that Healthcare industry companies like Rici Healthcare Holdings commonly do use debt without problems. Overall, it seems to us that Rici Healthcare Holdings's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Rici Healthcare Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.