Stock Analysis

China Resources Medical Holdings' (HKG:1515) Returns Have Hit A Wall

SEHK:1515
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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at China Resources Medical Holdings (HKG:1515) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for China Resources Medical Holdings, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.071 = CN¥636m ÷ (CN¥19b - CN¥9.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

So, China Resources Medical Holdings has an ROCE of 7.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Healthcare industry average of 11%.

Check out our latest analysis for China Resources Medical Holdings

roce
SEHK:1515 Return on Capital Employed October 19th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for China Resources Medical Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for China Resources Medical Holdings.

How Are Returns Trending?

There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at China Resources Medical Holdings. The company has consistently earned 7.1% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 49% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.

On another note, while the change in ROCE trend might not scream for attention, it's interesting that the current liabilities have actually gone up over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 52% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than7.1% because total capital employed would be higher.The 7.1% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 52% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. Additionally, this high level of current liabilities isn't ideal because it means the company's suppliers (or short-term creditors) are effectively funding a large portion of the business.

Our Take On China Resources Medical Holdings' ROCE

In conclusion, China Resources Medical Holdings has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 15% in the last five years. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think China Resources Medical Holdings has the makings of a multi-bagger.

On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for China Resources Medical Holdings that we think you should be aware of.

While China Resources Medical Holdings isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China Resources Medical Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.