ZJLD Group Inc

SZSC:6979 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$21.6b

ZJLD Group Valuation

Is 6979 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6979 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6979 (HK$6.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$8.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6979 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6979?

Key metric: As 6979 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6979. This is calculated by dividing 6979's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6979's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.4x
EarningsCN¥1.49b
Market CapCN¥20.09b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6979's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6979 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.6x
2460 China Resources Beverage (Holdings)
19xn/aHK$27.1b
828 Dynasty Fine Wines Group
15xn/aHK$436.6m
142 First Pacific
5.7x20.9%HK$19.2b
9985 WEILONG Delicious Global Holdings
14.8x13.4%HK$16.8b
6979 ZJLD Group
13.4x21.1%HK$21.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6979 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the peer average (13.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6979's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Beverage Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6979 13.4xIndustry Avg. 18.7xNo. of Companies26PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6979 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the Asian Beverage industry average (18.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6979's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6979 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.4x
Fair PE Ratio19.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6979 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6979 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$6.37
HK$10.00
+57.0%
12.9%HK$12.01HK$8.80n/a7
Nov ’25HK$7.50
HK$10.93
+45.7%
14.4%HK$13.66HK$9.01n/a8
Oct ’25HK$9.52
HK$10.77
+13.1%
15.1%HK$13.65HK$9.00n/a7
Sep ’25HK$7.24
HK$11.13
+53.7%
16.0%HK$13.65HK$9.00n/a7
Aug ’25HK$6.96
HK$12.77
+83.5%
6.2%HK$13.80HK$11.40n/a6
Jul ’25HK$8.08
HK$12.58
+55.6%
8.0%HK$13.71HK$11.08n/a6
Jun ’25HK$10.40
HK$12.70
+22.2%
7.5%HK$13.77HK$11.13n/a7
May ’25HK$10.64
HK$12.70
+19.4%
7.5%HK$13.77HK$11.13n/a7
Apr ’25HK$10.90
HK$12.71
+16.7%
7.5%HK$13.79HK$11.14n/a7
Mar ’25HK$9.40
HK$12.29
+30.8%
8.5%HK$13.50HK$10.79n/a7
Feb ’25HK$7.90
HK$12.29
+55.6%
8.5%HK$13.50HK$10.79n/a7
Jan ’25HK$9.82
HK$13.63
+38.8%
9.8%HK$15.72HK$11.30n/a6
Dec ’24HK$10.44
HK$13.44
+28.7%
7.6%HK$15.30HK$12.03n/a6
Nov ’24HK$12.12
HK$13.44
+10.9%
7.6%HK$15.30HK$12.03HK$7.506
Oct ’24HK$12.02
HK$11.66
-3.0%
12.8%HK$14.39HK$9.99HK$9.525
Sep ’24n/a
HK$11.69
0%
12.8%HK$14.44HK$10.02HK$7.245
Aug ’24n/a
HK$11.50
0%
14.2%HK$14.44HK$10.00HK$6.965
Jul ’24n/a
HK$12.17
0%
18.4%HK$15.87HK$10.00HK$8.084

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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