Stock Analysis

China Finance Investment Holdings Limited (HKG:875) Soars 52% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

SEHK:875
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Those holding China Finance Investment Holdings Limited (HKG:875) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 52% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the last month did very little to improve the 53% share price decline over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that China Finance Investment Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Food industry in Hong Kong, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for China Finance Investment Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:875 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 22nd 2024

How China Finance Investment Holdings Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, China Finance Investment Holdings has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on China Finance Investment Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Finance Investment Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For China Finance Investment Holdings?

China Finance Investment Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 44% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 11%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this information, we find it interesting that China Finance Investment Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What Does China Finance Investment Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now China Finance Investment Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We didn't quite envision China Finance Investment Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for China Finance Investment Holdings (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Finance Investment Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.