Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings (HKG:6868) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SEHK:6868
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited (HKG:6868) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings

What Is Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings had debt of CN¥586.6m, up from CN¥516.7m in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥362.0m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥224.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:6868 Debt to Equity History April 28th 2021

How Healthy Is Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.03b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥185.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥362.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥321.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥532.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥4.98b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.40. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 22.7 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. And we also note warmly that Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings grew its EBIT by 11% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 57% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

The good news is that Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Zooming out, Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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