Stock Analysis

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings (HKG:6868) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To HK$0.23

SEHK:6868
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Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited (HKG:6868) will increase its dividend on the 31st of May to HK$0.23. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 5.5%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings' Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings' dividend made up quite a large proportion of earnings but only 74% of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 19.5% if the company continues along the path it has been on recently. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 90%, which is definitely on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.

historic-dividend
SEHK:6868 Historic Dividend March 21st 2022

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from CN¥0.13 to CN¥0.26. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 7.2% over that duration. A reasonable rate of dividend growth is good to see, but we're wary that the dividend history is not as solid as we'd like, having been cut at least once.

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Might Find It Hard To Grow Its Dividend

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 20% per annum. Recently, the company has been able to grow earnings at a decent rate, but with the payout ratio on the higher end we don't think the dividend has many prospects for growth.

In Summary

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings will make a great income stock. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.