Stock Analysis

Does Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding (HKG:322) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:322
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corp. (HKG:322) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding

What Is Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding had CN¥17.6b of debt, an increase on CN¥13.7b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥14.0b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥3.59b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:322 Debt to Equity History April 19th 2023

How Healthy Is Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding had liabilities of CN¥31.7b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥9.93b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥14.0b in cash and CN¥1.83b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥25.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding is worth CN¥65.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.62. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 28% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding recorded free cash flow worth 70% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:322

Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding

An investment holding company, manufactures and sells instant noodles, beverages, and instant food products in the People’s Republic of China.

Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.

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