Investors five-year losses continue as Zhou Hei Ya International Holdings (HKG:1458) dips a further 11% this week, earnings continue to decline
We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But no-one is immune from buying too high. For example the Zhou Hei Ya International Holdings Company Limited (HKG:1458) share price dropped 71% over five years. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 23% in the last year. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 11%.
With the stock having lost 11% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
See our latest analysis for Zhou Hei Ya International Holdings
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Looking back five years, both Zhou Hei Ya International Holdings' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 35% per year. The share price decline of 22% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. With a P/E ratio of 69.03, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Zhou Hei Ya International Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We've already covered Zhou Hei Ya International Holdings' share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Zhou Hei Ya International Holdings' TSR of was a loss of 67% for the 5 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 25% in the last year, Zhou Hei Ya International Holdings shareholders lost 21%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 11% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Zhou Hei Ya International Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1458
Zhou Hei Ya International Holdings
An investment holding company, produces, markets, and retails casual braised food in the People’s Republic of China.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.