Yancoal Australia Valuation
Is 3668 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 3668 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 3668 (HK$32.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$55.84)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 3668 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3668?
Key metric: As 3668 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 3668's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 6.6x |
| Earnings | AU$1.27b |
| Market Cap | AU$8.32b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 2.7x |
| PEG Ratio | -6.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 3668's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 12.5x | ||
1164 CGN Mining | 32.8x | 25.8% | HK$14.1b |
1277 Kinetic Development Group | 4.4x | n/a | HK$12.3b |
1171 Yankuang Energy Group | 5.5x | -5.5% | HK$136.3b |
1898 China Coal Energy | 7.2x | 1.8% | HK$169.7b |
3668 Yancoal Australia | 6.6x | -1.1% | HK$8.3b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3668 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the peer average (12.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 3668's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Oil and Gas Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3668 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the Hong Kong Oil and Gas industry average (9.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 3668's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 6.6x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 6.9x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3668 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.
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