Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited

SEHK:1171 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$179.5b

Yankuang Energy Group Valuation

Is 1171 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • PM vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1171 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1171 (HK$18.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$70.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1171 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1171?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1171 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.9x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1171's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1171 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.6x
1898 China Coal Energy
6.8x3.3%HK$160.5b
1088 China Shenhua Energy
9.1x-0.8%HK$804.7b
1164 CGN Mining
43.7x44.4%HK$14.8b
1277 Kinetic Development Group
2.8xn/aHK$5.6b
1171 Yankuang Energy Group
7.2x6.2%HK$179.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1171 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1171's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1171 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the Hong Kong Oil and Gas industry average (6.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1171's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1171 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.2x
Fair PE Ratio7x

PM vs Fair Ratio: 1171 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1171 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$18.30
HK$15.75
-13.9%
14.2%HK$19.97HK$12.02n/a13
Feb ’25HK$15.68
HK$15.30
-2.4%
18.4%HK$19.88HK$9.09n/a13
Jan ’25HK$14.84
HK$14.73
-0.8%
17.3%HK$18.23HK$9.13n/a13
Dec ’24HK$14.66
HK$14.71
+0.4%
17.7%HK$18.26HK$9.14n/a12
Nov ’24HK$13.44
HK$14.25
+6.0%
17.9%HK$17.83HK$8.93n/a11
Oct ’24HK$14.80
HK$14.31
-3.3%
22.9%HK$22.11HK$8.96n/a11
Sep ’24HK$12.32
HK$14.63
+18.7%
25.1%HK$22.21HK$9.00n/a12
Aug ’24HK$11.68
HK$16.78
+43.6%
20.8%HK$22.34HK$9.95n/a12
Jul ’24HK$14.97
HK$16.83
+12.5%
20.5%HK$22.49HK$10.71n/a12
Jun ’24HK$13.23
HK$17.44
+31.9%
19.7%HK$22.87HK$10.88n/a13
May ’24HK$17.90
HK$18.51
+3.4%
23.7%HK$26.99HK$11.15n/a14
Apr ’24HK$18.73
HK$18.44
-1.6%
24.4%HK$27.15HK$11.21n/a14
Mar ’24HK$15.87
HK$19.02
+19.9%
25.8%HK$27.06HK$11.18n/a13
Feb ’24HK$16.80
HK$20.26
+20.6%
25.5%HK$27.42HK$11.33HK$15.6813
Jan ’24HK$15.87
HK$21.42
+35.0%
26.1%HK$34.12HK$14.10HK$14.8413
Dec ’23HK$16.70
HK$20.98
+25.6%
25.9%HK$33.39HK$14.00HK$14.6613
Nov ’23HK$15.03
HK$20.24
+34.6%
29.4%HK$32.91HK$8.95HK$13.4413
Oct ’23HK$19.03
HK$18.64
-2.0%
33.4%HK$33.01HK$9.13HK$14.8012
Sep ’23HK$21.20
HK$16.50
-22.2%
27.0%HK$23.88HK$9.42HK$12.3211
Aug ’23HK$16.73
HK$14.96
-10.6%
29.0%HK$20.67HK$6.73HK$11.6810
Jul ’23HK$16.40
HK$14.77
-9.9%
28.9%HK$20.71HK$6.78HK$14.9710
Jun ’23HK$17.93
HK$14.47
-19.3%
30.7%HK$20.27HK$6.75HK$13.2310
May ’23HK$14.93
HK$14.17
-5.1%
32.2%HK$19.93HK$6.88HK$17.9010
Apr ’23HK$16.50
HK$13.44
-18.6%
34.4%HK$20.66HK$7.37HK$18.7312
Mar ’23HK$13.57
HK$8.43
-37.9%
35.4%HK$15.67HK$5.41HK$15.8712
Feb ’23HK$10.96
HK$8.27
-24.5%
31.1%HK$13.43HK$5.43HK$16.8012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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