China Coal Energy Company Limited

SEHK:1898 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$164.0b

China Coal Energy Valuation

Is 1898 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1898 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1898 (HK$9.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$25.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1898 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1898?

Key metric: As 1898 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1898. This is calculated by dividing 1898's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1898's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.1x
EarningsCN¥16.79b
Market CapCN¥153.99b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1898's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1898 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.2x
1171 Yankuang Energy Group
5.2x0.5%HK$127.2b
1088 China Shenhua Energy
10.7x-1.1%HK$869.8b
1277 Kinetic Development Group
4xn/aHK$11.2b
1164 CGN Mining
29x23.6%HK$12.2b
1898 China Coal Energy
7.1x4.1%HK$164.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1898 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the peer average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1898's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Oil and Gas Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
663 King Stone Energy Group
1.3xn/aUS$15.51m
276 Mongolia Energy
0.06xn/aUS$14.77m
No more companies available in this PE range
1898 7.1xIndustry Avg. 9.4xNo. of Companies4PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1898 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the Hong Kong Oil and Gas industry average (9.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1898's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1898 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.1x
Fair PE Ratio8.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1898 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1898 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$9.58
HK$10.31
+7.6%
10.0%HK$11.73HK$8.46n/a9
Dec ’25HK$9.23
HK$10.19
+10.4%
10.9%HK$11.81HK$8.35n/a10
Nov ’25HK$9.80
HK$10.26
+4.7%
11.5%HK$12.01HK$8.49n/a9
Oct ’25HK$9.70
HK$9.96
+2.6%
11.7%HK$11.05HK$8.08n/a9
Sep ’25HK$9.32
HK$10.02
+7.5%
10.6%HK$11.07HK$8.51n/a9
Aug ’25HK$7.92
HK$9.60
+21.2%
13.3%HK$11.46HK$7.89n/a10
Jul ’25HK$9.12
HK$9.58
+5.1%
13.2%HK$11.45HK$7.88n/a10
Jun ’25HK$9.85
HK$9.50
-3.5%
13.9%HK$11.50HK$7.92n/a10
May ’25HK$7.90
HK$8.84
+11.9%
10.3%HK$10.16HK$7.29n/a10
Apr ’25HK$7.62
HK$8.57
+12.5%
15.2%HK$10.19HK$5.75n/a10
Mar ’25HK$8.51
HK$8.11
-4.7%
14.5%HK$10.26HK$5.79n/a10
Feb ’25HK$8.37
HK$7.75
-7.4%
19.8%HK$10.22HK$4.75n/a10
Jan ’25HK$7.10
HK$6.98
-1.7%
22.5%HK$9.65HK$4.78n/a10
Dec ’24HK$6.74
HK$6.85
+1.6%
22.0%HK$9.24HK$4.69HK$9.2310
Nov ’24HK$6.06
HK$6.82
+12.6%
22.1%HK$9.20HK$4.67HK$9.8010
Oct ’24HK$6.14
HK$6.91
+12.6%
22.6%HK$9.13HK$4.68HK$9.7010
Sep ’24HK$5.35
HK$6.99
+30.6%
21.8%HK$9.17HK$4.70HK$9.3211
Aug ’24HK$5.62
HK$7.15
+27.2%
20.3%HK$9.26HK$4.28HK$7.9211
Jul ’24HK$5.82
HK$7.16
+22.9%
20.4%HK$9.56HK$4.29HK$9.1211
Jun ’24HK$6.01
HK$7.39
+22.9%
20.1%HK$9.85HK$4.42HK$9.8511
May ’24HK$6.72
HK$7.45
+10.8%
20.2%HK$9.96HK$4.47HK$7.9011
Apr ’24HK$5.95
HK$7.52
+26.5%
20.5%HK$10.00HK$4.49HK$7.6211
Mar ’24HK$6.23
HK$7.89
+26.7%
23.1%HK$10.40HK$4.99HK$8.5110
Feb ’24HK$6.34
HK$8.39
+32.3%
20.9%HK$10.60HK$5.08HK$8.3710
Jan ’24HK$6.35
HK$8.53
+34.4%
14.0%HK$10.00HK$6.21HK$7.1010
Dec ’23HK$7.12
HK$8.53
+19.8%
14.0%HK$10.00HK$6.21HK$6.7410

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 09:46
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China Coal Energy Company Limited is covered by 73 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ephrem RaviBarclays
James ClarkeBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Cho Ming LauBOCI Research Ltd.