Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that China LNG Group Limited (HKG:931) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for China LNG Group
What Is China LNG Group's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, China LNG Group had HK$563.1m of debt, up from HK$514.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had HK$105.6m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$457.5m.
A Look At China LNG Group's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, China LNG Group had liabilities of HK$746.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$519.2m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$105.6m and HK$204.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$956.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since China LNG Group has a market capitalization of HK$1.95b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is China LNG Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, China LNG Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$433m, which is a fall of 44%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While China LNG Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost HK$160m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of HK$199m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for China LNG Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:931
China HK Power Smart Energy Group
An investment holding company, sells and distributes liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the People’s Republic of China and Hong Kong.
Imperfect balance sheet very low.