The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that United Energy Group Limited (HKG:467) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for United Energy Group
How Much Debt Does United Energy Group Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that United Energy Group had debt of HK$4.67b at the end of June 2021, a reduction from HK$5.82b over a year. On the flip side, it has HK$2.00b in cash leading to net debt of about HK$2.67b.
How Healthy Is United Energy Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that United Energy Group had liabilities of HK$4.98b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$5.93b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$2.00b and HK$4.10b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$4.82b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given United Energy Group has a market capitalization of HK$31.0b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
United Energy Group has net debt of just 0.55 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And it boasts interest cover of 7.8 times, which is more than adequate. Also good is that United Energy Group grew its EBIT at 14% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since United Energy Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, United Energy Group recorded free cash flow of 44% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
The good news is that United Energy Group's demonstrated ability handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And we also thought its EBIT growth rate was a positive. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that United Energy Group can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with United Energy Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About SEHK:467
United Energy Group
An investment holding company, engages in the investment and operation of upstream oil, natural gas, and other energy related businesses in South Asia, the Middle East, and North Africa.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.