Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, China Coal Energy Company Limited (HKG:1898) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for China Coal Energy
What Is China Coal Energy's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Coal Energy had debt of CN¥83.4b at the end of March 2023, a reduction from CN¥97.7b over a year. However, it does have CN¥95.5b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥12.1b.
How Healthy Is China Coal Energy's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, China Coal Energy had liabilities of CN¥101.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥72.4b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥95.5b in cash and CN¥23.6b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥54.9b.
This deficit isn't so bad because China Coal Energy is worth a massive CN¥109.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, China Coal Energy also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
But the other side of the story is that China Coal Energy saw its EBIT decline by 3.9% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Coal Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While China Coal Energy has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, China Coal Energy actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Summing Up
While China Coal Energy does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥12.1b. The cherry on top was that in converted 103% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥35b. So we don't have any problem with China Coal Energy's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China Coal Energy .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1898
China Coal Energy
China Coal Energy Company Limited mines, produces, processes, trades in, and sells coal in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.